Using Stats to Your Advantage: Reading the Available Data

As with many games these days’ statistics have become an integral part of the gaming experience. This is no different in World of Warship. The statistics available to the player and community as a whole can be overwhelming. So how do you sort through them? What do they mean? Can they really tell if a player is a good player or bad player? In this article, I hope to answer every one of those questions as well as go into a bit more detail on reading some of the stats that are displayed on the many sites and apps.

In my previous article, I analyzed existing raw data using statistical methods and formulas – this article will do none of that. Other individuals have created their own formulas, as well as extracted data Wargaming to highlight certain attributes of a player. Though many of us have probably seen these numbers, here are just a few of the examples: Battles (played), Victories, Defeats, (battles) Survived, Frags, Average Damage Dealt, Average Win Rate, etc. These are examples of metrics derived from the raw data, if not raw data themselves. For instance, Victories, is raw data, but Win Rate is Wins divided by total battles played – an example of a metric derived from raw data. The other type of metric is a calculated metric. Examples of this would be the Warships Today Rating (WTR) from warships.today and wowstats.org and the ship and aggression ratings from wowreplays.com. These are calculated through formulas that incorporate multiple other metrics, usually those derived from raw data. The reason for this is to make it easier to compare a single player to the player population. Hence, the ‘Unicum’ scale.[1]

Sorting Through the Data

One of the reasons scales, such as the WTR, has been created is to help the stat ‘novice’ identify good players, or bad players, and to see where they sit in the grand scheme, without having the knowledge of understanding the individual metrics as a whole. Add some color and viola, instant idea of how good a player is. This doesn’t tell the whole story however. As a comparative example, take Player A and Player B. Both have a WTR of 1500 in their Atlantas (if you’ve ever played one; that is no small feat). By definition, that makes them Unicum. However, Player A only has 2 battles, and Player B has over 200 in that ship. So who’s the better player? By rating alone, they are equal, but if we take into consideration that extra metric of battles played, chances are Player B is much better. This has to do with the law of large numbers[2]. In this particular instance, the more battles a player has the more likely we are to have a good representation of how skilled they really are. Keep in mind too, players tend to get better over time so after their rating stabilizes, it will likely creep higher over time. Looking at this one extra piece of information can help you determine a perceived good player from a true good player, or even bad.

Making a Player Determination

In my opinion, and experience, it takes looking at more than one piece of information to determine whether or not a player is good or bad. It can’t be done with just WTR alone. Some other ‘extra’ stats that are good to look at when trying to make a determination of a player might include total battles played, top ship tier, survival rate, average damage done, tiers they usually play, and ship class they usually play. The significance of each of these is outline below.

  • Total Battles Played – A new player typically will not be very good, this can be made evident by their total battles. However, if they have very few battles, but have high ratings it may be a second account
  • Top Ship Tier[3] – Most players don’t get the hang of the game until tier 4 or 5 depending on how quickly they progress. So don’t be surprised to ‘bad’ players that only have a tier 4 or 5 as their top ship.
  • Survival Rate – You Only Live Once; bad players will typically have a poor survival rate. However, it’s worth mentioning that aggressive players do as well. When considering Survival Rate, look at their average damage. An overly aggressive player with poor survival could be considered bad with below average damage in that ship.
  • Average Damage Done – A key factor in most metrics as it correlates well with both survival and win rate. Above average damage is typically a good indicator of a decent player, particularly if they have more than 30 battles in that ship.
  • Tiers they Play – One would expect that the higher the tier an individual plays, the higher their average damage potential. A low average tier but high average damage will indicated both a good player and likely a seal clubber.
  • Ship Class they Play – Do they stick to just one or two classes or try to play them all? This is more of a point to consider when judging a player outside their typical class. A player might have a good WTR and play a lot of destroyers, but not be very good in battleships.

 

Applying This New Knowledge

As an individual player, you can use this information to determine whether or not to focus a player, or let them be for now. The better player will usually be the bigger threat whereas the lesser player, though still capable of doing damage, is less likely to do as much as quickly as the better player. As a clan member, particularly one that deals with recruitment and member applications, this new knowledge will make you a better judge of a player. Most importantly, you can be a better judge of their future capabilities and where they may fit in a division or competitively. Further, in competitive or division play, this information can be used to accurately determine the biggest threats and focus them as they are spotted.

Conclusion

There is a lot of information out there to sift through but hopefully I’ve pointed out some of the more important pieces and what they meant. Ultimately, it’s up to the individual reading them to interpret the data in front of them to make their decision. Tools that I use frequently both to help myself find areas of improvement as well as to make determinations of other players are Warships.Today, World of Warships Stats, and WoWReplays Matchmaking Monitor. The Matchmaking monitor is great for player info on a per battle instance. I would strongly recommend having dual monitors to use this effectively, though not necessary, it really helps. I hope this new and extra information is useful and happy sailing!

[1] The WTR “Unicum” Rating Scale – https://na.warships.today/help/warships_today_rating

[2] The Law of Large Numbers is a principle in statistics, particularly probability, where the larger the sample that you have, the more likely the actual mean (i.e. a player’s WTR) is to be equal to the expected mean (a ‘true’ representation of their skill).

[3] Top ship tier should be measured by their top tech tree ship, or non-premium or reward ship.

Author: SnipeySnipes

A technical and analytic writer for the WoWReplays.com blog - I focus on nuances and details that are often ignored or over looked by other World of Warships community contributors. With a background in the social sciences and statistics I aim to answer questions about the game and player population as a whole, backing my findings with numbers as proof. I play World of Warships as often as I can but by no means am a "professional." Though I would say I perform better then the average player, I still screw up and die often! You can find me in game or hanging about the WoWReplays Discord server. Hit me up for questions, comments or suggestions. Snide remarks or toxic comments will be forwarded to my complaints department for disposal.

2 thoughts on “Using Stats to Your Advantage: Reading the Available Data”

  1. Hello for the past two days I’ve been unable to get the link above for WoWReplays Matchmaking Monitor to work. I’m trying to find out how to use it now that I downloaded and installed it with Alsains’ installer. Is there a newbie instruction page somewhere? Thanks

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    1. Nevermind — I figured it out… its not an in game mod, I have to go to my desktop and launch it. Is there a way to refresh when you start a new battle other than exiting the application and restarting? Thanks!

      Like

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